The BBC has taken it upon itself to look at how football and domestic violence interact. A Freedom of Information request was made to look at reports of domestic violence during England's games in the 2010 World Cup. These were then compared with reported rates for the same dates in 2009. The stats for the four games showed that when England won or lost, there were more reported incidents, however when England drew, figures were about the same.
Pretty conclusive, huh? Well...
Statistics are great, in that they can be used to prove any point that you like. On the face of it, yes, it does look like football does have a significant effect, but I have the following reservations:
- Sample size
The BBC data looked at four games. Yes, four games. Did they look at any other tournaments? No. Considering the number of games England has played over the years, there shouldn't be an absence of relevant date.
What then about other England games? Did rates increase during qualifying games? Or is it just when a tournament is played?
How about domestic football? Are more cases reported after Premier League matches? Or Championship games? Are spouses more at risk during the FA Cup Final?
There is ample data to easily conduct a more thorough study into the cause and effects of football on domestic violence, so why has it not been used? Could it be that it doesn't assist in making such claims?
Further, how many people watched the games, and how do those figures compare with viewing figures?
The study fails to take into account that there is more interest in the game during a tournament, and people who would not ordinarily watch a football match, will be watching the national side.
- Match results
It would be understandable to see football being directly responsible for domestic violence where teams lost. "Taking it out on the other half", is a compelling argument.
So why did rates increase when England won AND lost games? Why were there no more reported incidents after the draw with the USA, which from memory, was a hugely disappointing performance and result? It certainly felt like a defeat at the time, and there would be plenty of reason for fans to take out their frustrations.
- Comparisons with other sports or events
Games like these are usually watched by large groups, and involve a lot of drinking. Maybe even drug use. Both are a factor in domestic violence. Rather than blaming football, per se, we should be looking at our attitudes to alcohol consumption, and not the game.
One way of seeing if this is the case would be to see if report rates increase at Bank Holidays, where similar large groups congregate to drink. It's regularly reported that rates of domestic violence increase at Christmas; it isn't Christmas that is the cause, it's the increase in drink that is. Data is available, why hasn't football tournaments been compared to those? Could this data show that the increase around football tournaments isn't as significant as, say Christmas?
How do these results compare with rugby or cricket matches? Or Ascot, Cheltenham, or Grand National week?
- Interpretation
What exactly is classed as "domestic violence"? One of the things I have noted from my observations of the criminal justice system is the way in which even the police or the CPS label incidents as "domestic violence" is inconsistent. It would be great to think that offences are dealt with correctly, but they are not.
Further, the BBC has looked at reported incidents. Not all of these matters are taken any further, so it would be helpful to see how many resulted in charges, and ultimately, in convictions.
As noted above, drink can be a significant factor in domestic violence cases, as well as in any offence against the person. Have incidents been classed as domestic violence, when it is a case of an argument getting out of hand? Neither incident is desirable, but it can be misleading when dealing with the issue of domestic violence itself. In the absence of any statutory guidance into the definition, it is plausible that police forces are interpreting incidents in a different manner.
It is also not known how many incidents occur; many will go unreported. Victims are often too scared, or too forgiving. That's not to say incidents don't increase at certain times of the year, but why are more incidents being reported? Could it be the victim has also had the benefit of drink, and is feeling braver about reporting an incident that he or she would usually let pass?
Given not everybody who watches England games during a tournament would even class themselves as a football fan, it seems unfair that the sport can be blamed. Would any other social group be subjected to such a study? It's highly unlikely. So why has the BBC chosen to do so?
The overall tone of the report is to yet again demonise football fans. In the absence of any news regarding hooliganism, the BBC looks to have conducted a study designed to blame football for one of society's problems. Rather than proving anything, the report raises more questions. Four matches is not enough to prove anything.
The only positive to come from the story is that maybe there will be the impetus to conduct a full and detailed study into the factors that cause domestic violence, and whether football is, or is not, one of them.
